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ITIF Report Weighs US Auto Industry's Slipping Global Grip
ITIF's March 23, 2026 report assesses the evolving global competitiveness of US auto manufacturing, landing amid tariffs, EV program shifts and capacity questions.
Scope of change
- The Information Technology and Innovation Foundation published "Assessing the Evolving Global Competitiveness of the US Auto Industry" on March 23, 2026.
- The report evaluates the US auto industry's evolving competitive position in the global market.
- ITIF has a record of arguing US manufacturing strength depends on deliberate industrial policy.

The Information Technology and Innovation Foundation published a report on March 23, 2026 titled "Assessing the Evolving Global Competitiveness of the US Auto Industry," adding a Washington policy-shop perspective to a debate that plant managers and purchasing chiefs have been having on the shop floor for years.
The title itself signals the framing. This is not a snapshot. It is an assessment of an industry in motion — "evolving" competitiveness, in the foundation's words — and the choice of that word matters for anyone calibrating capacity plans, tooling investments or supplier awards for the back half of the decade.
ITIF, a think tank with a long track record of arguing that US manufacturing strength is a policy outcome rather than an accident, has repeatedly warned in prior work that the American industrial base risks ceding ground to competitors, above all China, in the industries that will define the next production cycle. Automotive sits at the center of that argument because it concentrates so many of the contested inputs: batteries, power electronics, semiconductor content, software-defined platforms and the skilled trade workforce that stamps, welds and assembles them.
For plant-level readers, the questions such a report typically addresses are concrete. Where does the United States stand on vehicle output and assembly capacity relative to China, Japan, Germany, South Korea and Mexico? How quickly is the battery-electric share of production shifting, and how much of the cell capacity needed to feed it is actually built on North American soil versus announced? What happens to the supplier tier — the Tier 2 and Tier 3 base in stampings, castings, electronics and interiors — when program volumes migrate or platforms consolidate?
The distinction between confirmed capacity and stated intention is where most competitiveness assessments earn or lose their credibility. Over the past several years, OEMs and cell makers have unveiled North American plant commitments with headline investment figures in the billions of dollars. Some of those lines are running metal today. Others remain renderings, awaiting offtake agreements, demand signals or final equipment orders. A rigorous report separates the two, and readers should apply the same test to its findings that they would to a supplier's capacity claim during a sourcing round.
The timing of the publication is worth noting. A March 2026 assessment lands after the first full years of the US tariff regime on imported vehicles and parts, after several EV program delays and cancellations across multiple OEMs, and amid continued hybrid demand that few volume forecasts captured accurately. Any honest competitiveness scorecard for the US industry has to reconcile two opposing pressures: policy measures that pull production toward US plants, and program decisions — some of them reversed within a single fiscal year — that push launch timing and volume commitments the other way.
For the supplier base, the stakes are direct. Competitiveness metrics translate into sourcing decisions. If US-based plants cannot hit launch timing, quality gates or cost targets, program awards drift to plants in Mexico, Canada, Korea, Japan or increasingly Southeast Asia. If the domestic battery chain cannot supply cells at competitive cost, pack assembly and the tier of components around it follow the cells. Tier 1 suppliers making those footprint calls will read this report as one more input, not a verdict.
ITIF's institutional position also shapes what to expect from its conclusions. The foundation has consistently advocated industrial policy tools — investment incentives, R&D support, workforce programs and trade measures — as the levers that determine whether advanced manufacturing stays onshore. Its assessment of the auto industry's global position is unlikely to be neutral about whether current policy is sufficient, and readers should weigh its recommendations against production data and plant-utilization numbers rather than accepting the framing wholesale.
What to watch next: the report's specific recommendations, if ITIF follows its usual practice of pairing diagnosis with policy prescriptions; the reaction from OEM and supplier trade groups; and whether its competitiveness indicators — output, capacity utilization, EV share, component localization — match the numbers the OEMs themselves report in quarterly production disclosures through the rest of 2026.
via Google News: Auto industry policy (Source)
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Staff writer covering industry trends and analytics at Autoplant Brief.
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